Lower grains in the trade. Big trade factors today include the FEDS Statement, Brexit & China tariff deadline. What will happen between now & Sunday with China & how will the markets
continue to watch. Brazilian weather for the most part is pretty good. Argentina has some heat, but showers are possible. Livestock ASF, getting reports of an uptick in breakouts in China-not official but being talked about on the ground.
USMCA. Higher grain numbers…did the Chinese numbers get faded out? WASDE report. Chinese production numbers corn & wheat were higher. Final USDA Crop Progress report for 2019. Dollar traded lower. Livestock…USDA cut in exports for beef & pork. Chinese hog heard is starting to rebuild. Cattle markets & weights.
USMCA Chatter. Spitting of weather across the Midwest. Soybeans sharply higher-funds are short. Trade deal talks of last week makes some worried that a deal with China might not be done. Extended crop reports…crop report out tomorrow-can we expect any surprises? Stats Canada Vomitoxin issues, test weight issues on corn. South America weather. Price action on the livestock shows we haven’t learned a lot on the trade issues.
In a flurry of meeting with reporters Tuesday in London, President Donald Trump says he has no deadline for finalizing a complete trade deal with China.
China and the U.S. are still working to reach a phase one agreement, with an unofficial deadline of December 15, but an overall agreement may extend beyond the 2020 elections. Trump told reporters, “In some ways, I think it’s better to wait until after the election.”
Trump says China wants to reach an agreement, adding, “the China trade deal is dependent on one thing: Do I want to make it?” Trump claims he is doing “very well” in the talks with China. The President also pointed out the $28 billion in trade aid given to U.S. farmers, with “many billions” leftover, adding about the funds, “that got them whole.”
China wants Trump to remove tariffs in reaching a phase one agreement that also includes $40-$50 billion in purchases of U.S. agricultural products over two years.
Another solid week on the cash cattle. Could there be a correction headed our way? Any holiday pressure that might work into. How are cattle weights. Holcomb KS plant to start back up this week. How do you think the market react? Funds are long. Some red flags popping up. Hogs…way to cheap but China is playing a role in that. 10% of corn crop still in the field. Basis in corn market. China on again off again. December 15th…will we see changes before then? Mixed grain markets.
Markets closed early on Friday for the Thanksgiving holiday. This year’s crop outcome-what will be harvested is about there-this could move the markets higher as reality sets in that all the crop won’t be out before 2020. How will this change the basis? Cash will win in the end. South American production-any issues heading into December. December 15th deadline looming with China-will they just continue to buy what they need? Corn exports saw some improvements this past week. Getting a final spike trade in the dairy industry. Still seeing some Chinese purchases for milk powder. Weeks snowstorms and upcoming weekend weather be of concern to the feeder cattle market?
Corn continues to see slop progress in harvest with over 3 billion bushels still out. Beans have been in a difficult spot, many still question the USDA reports. Hong Kong-is this causing a slow down in getting a trade agreement in place. South America supplies are running small. Cattle futures see a lower trade & ASF spread & the market effects.
Nice to have green on the screen even with bad trade news. Weekly crop progress report. Kansas Wheat condition. the corn market analysis going into next week & beyond. Lower U.S. dollar, Global plantings. Propane shortages continue with the need for harvest dry down. Thoughts of exports. Cattle is hitting some lofty levels. Holiday pressure begins.
Are the talks with China falling apart. Media play game? USMCA seems positive. Ethanol production 7th week higher…stocks lower. Brazil tariff quota for wheat. China & U.S. Poultry, ASF…
Markets giving back all the gains. Is China dead South America waiting to pounce. Tyson announcing earnings…Holcomb KS plant coming back on line, heavy weight cattle. Dean Foods & chapter 11